Tesla, Alphabet highlight earnings rush as market hovers near record highs: What to know this week

Key Points

  • Market Performance: The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are near record highs, with the Nasdaq up over 1.6% and the S&P 500 up 0.7% last week, despite tariff concerns and monetary policy debates.**
  • Earnings Season: 112 S&P 500 companies, including Alphabet, Tesla, and Chipotle, are set to report quarterly results, with Big Tech expected to drive significant earnings growth.**
  • Federal Reserve Policy: Fed governor Christopher Waller advocates for a July rate cut, though market expectations for a cut have dropped to a 5% probability, influenced by sticky inflation and strong economic data.**
  • Economic Data: A quiet week for economic releases, with focus on services and manufacturing sector updates as the Federal Reserve enters a blackout period before its July meeting.**

Summary

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are close to record highs, showing resilience amid escalating tariffs and monetary policy debates, with the Nasdaq gaining over 1.6% and the S&P 500 up 0.7% last week. A significant earnings season is underway, with 112 S&P 500 companies, including Alphabet, Tesla, and Chipotle, set to report, and Big Tech expected to lead with a 14.1% earnings growth compared to the rest of the index at 3.4%. Federal Reserve governor Christopher Waller has called for an interest rate cut in July, citing inflation near target, though market expectations for a cut have diminished to just 5% due to persistent inflation and robust economic indicators like retail sales. Meanwhile, a quiet week of economic data will focus on manufacturing and services sectors as the Fed enters a blackout period before its July 29-30 meeting. Despite strong earnings from companies like Netflix and big banks, stock reactions have been muted due to high valuations and elevated expectations, raising concerns among strategists about potential pullbacks if results disappoint. The market anticipates a broadening of earnings growth beyond Big Tech in coming quarters, which could support a more sustained rally if cyclical sectors show improvement.

yahoo
July 20, 2025
Stocks
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