Stock rout and dealmaking freeze raises stakes for start of Wall Street's earnings season

Key Points

  • Dealmaking freeze and financial stock rout raise stakes for Wall Street's earnings season.
  • Big banks like JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup tumbled after Trump's new tariffs.
  • IPO and M&A activities are being postponed due to market uncertainties.
  • Bank executives are considering revising down revenue forecasts for M&A advisory businesses.
  • Analysts expect banks to adjust their annual guidance for loan growth.

Summary

The financial sector is facing significant challenges as Wall Street's earnings season approaches, exacerbated by a dealmaking freeze and a sharp decline in financial stocks, the worst since 2023. Major banks such as JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and Bank of America saw their stocks drop significantly following President Trump's new tariffs. The KBW Nasdaq Bank Index (^BKX) experienced its worst two-day performance since March 2020, reflecting broader market turmoil. This downturn has led to the postponement of several IPOs and M&A activities, with companies like StubHub, Klarna, and Chime delaying their public offerings. The uncertainty has prompted bank executives to consider revising revenue forecasts downwards, particularly in M&A advisory. Amidst these challenges, there are some potential positives, such as regulatory changes that could benefit banks, but the immediate focus is on how banks will navigate the increased risks of a recession and rising inflation, with particular attention on their forward guidance and credit risk management.

yahoo
April 5, 2025
Stocks
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