SoftBank and Trump may not be enough to save Intel

Key Points

  • Intel (INTC) shares surged nearly 7% after SoftBank Group announced a $2 billion investment in the struggling chipmaker.
  • The Trump administration is considering converting $10.9 billion in CHIPS Act grants into an equity stake in Intel to bolster its US manufacturing.
  • Intel faces significant challenges, including cash losses in manufacturing, declining market share, and lagging in the AI chip race against competitors like AMD and Nvidia.
  • Despite investments, analysts remain skeptical about Intel's recovery, citing deeper issues beyond funding and struggles in its Foundry business.
  • Intel's geopolitical importance as the only major US-based leading-edge chip manufacturer underscores the government's interest in its stabilization.

Summary

Intel (INTC) saw a nearly 7% stock increase following SoftBank Group's $2 billion investment announcement, alongside reports of the Trump administration potentially converting $10.9 billion in CHIPS Act grants into an equity stake to support Intel’s US manufacturing. Once an industry leader, Intel is grappling with severe challenges, including cash-bleeding manufacturing operations, loss of market share to rivals like AMD and Nvidia, especially in AI chips, and a market cap drop to $111 billion from over twice that in 2021. Under new CEO Lip-Bu Tan, the company has cut 15% of its workforce and delayed European plant expansions. Despite its Foundry business struggles and delays in new technology rollouts like the 18A node, Intel remains geopolitically significant as the only major US-based advanced chip manufacturer. However, analysts express doubt over whether these investments will suffice, with some estimating a need for up to $40 billion for next-gen tech. While short-term government involvement could position Intel favorably, long-term entanglement risks inefficiencies and stifled innovation, prompting hopes for eventual government divestment if Intel regains stability.

yahoo
August 20, 2025
Stocks
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