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Summary
Investors are increasingly confident in a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in September following July's inflation data, which aligned with expectations and showed limited impact from President Trump's tariffs. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% month-over-month and 2.7% year-over-year, slightly below forecasts, while core CPI increased 3.1% annually. This, combined with a weak July employment report, has heightened expectations for a 25 basis point cut, with the probability jumping to 98%. Two-year Treasury yields fell to 3.729%, signaling market anticipation of looser monetary policy. Despite tariffs, inflation remains muted, with some analysts suggesting exporters are absorbing costs. However, economists like Tiffany Wilding from PIMCO predict a gradual rise in core CPI to 3.4% by year-end as tariff effects emerge slowly. Critics of Trump's tariff policies, including Goldman Sachs economists, have been challenged by the subdued inflation figures, while Trump and advisors argue the data vindicates their stance. The Fed awaits further inflation and labor data before its next meeting, amid political developments like Trump's nomination of E.J. Antoni as BLS commissioner following controversy over job data quality.
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Summary
Bullish (BLSH), a cryptocurrency exchange operator, is set to go public with a valuation of $5.41 billion, pricing its IPO at $37 per share, surpassing the anticipated $32-$33 range, and raising $1.1 billion. This marks the company's second attempt at a public debut after a failed 2021 SPAC merger valued at $9 billion was halted by regulatory issues. The IPO has attracted significant institutional interest, with BlackRock and Ark Invest eyeing up to $200 million in shares. Bullish, which also owns CoinDesk, operates a digital assets exchange for institutional clients, handling $2.6 billion in daily volume in Q1. CEO Thomas Farley believes the digital assets industry is at a growth inflection point, positioning Bullish as a key player with a compliant, institutional-focused model. The IPO comes amid a robust 2025 market, with 133 IPOs worth over $50 million, up 58% from last year, and a cryptocurrency rally, including Bitcoin (+28%) and XRP (+57%). Bullish aims to follow the success of recent fintech IPOs like Circle (+130% since debut) and Figma (+2% since debut), signaling a strong recovery in the IPO landscape after challenging years.
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Bags, a Solana-based memecoin launchpad launched in May, is carving a niche by paying royalties to meme creators and artists, a strategy that sets it apart from competitors like Pump.fun and LetsBonk. With over $1 billion in trading volume in the past 30 days, Bags is the fastest-growing platform of its kind on Solana by revenue, despite being dwarfed by market leaders. Its model requires creators to specify royalty recipients, often the original artists, addressing ethical concerns around copyright seen in other platforms. However, while some creators earn six-figure payouts, Bags’ top tokens, BTH and NYAN, have plummeted by 20% and 32% in 24 hours, leaving traders with losses. This comes amid a broader memecoin market resurgence, with the sector’s value hitting $77 billion, up 11% in 30 days, and trading volume rising 45%. Solana remains a key blockchain for memecoin activity, seeing a surge in new tokens. Bags’ creator-first approach offers a fresh perspective, but the volatile nature of memecoins continues to pose risks for investors.
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Summary
Bullish, a cryptocurrency exchange operator backed by billionaire Peter Thiel, is poised to open nearly 62% above its IPO price of $37 per share on the NYSE, potentially valuing the company at $8.77 billion. The IPO raised $1.11 billion, marking the largest U.S. listing by a digital assets firm this year. This follows stablecoin giant Circle's successful $1.05 billion IPO, reflecting growing mainstream adoption of cryptocurrencies, with the sector's market value recently exceeding $4 trillion. Bullish, which acquired CoinDesk in 2023, benefits from a pro-crypto White House, regulatory wins, and corporate treasury adoption, alongside ETF inflows and bitcoin's record highs. The company's debut signals strong investor confidence and boosts prospects for future U.S. listings by other crypto firms like Gemini and Grayscale, who are eyeing public offerings during a revived IPO window driven by robust tech earnings and expectations of easing tariffs and interest rates. J.P. Morgan and Jefferies led the underwriting for Bullish's IPO, underscoring the sector's increasing integration into traditional financial markets.
