Key Points
- BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) ETF has amassed over $69.7 billion in Bitcoin, representing 3.25% of the total BTC supply.
- IBIT holds a dominant 54.7% market share among US spot Bitcoin ETFs, which collectively control 6.12% of Bitcoin’s supply.
- Institutional interest remains strong with sustained ETF inflows, including $388 million in a single day, despite declining retail participation.
- Onchain data indicates high-value transactions dominate Bitcoin network activity, with transactions over $100,000 comprising 89% of activity.
- Analysts suggest weakening retail demand could push Bitcoin towards a support level near $92,000 if investor interest continues to wane.
Summary
BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) ETF is approaching $70 billion in assets, holding over 3.25% of Bitcoin’s total supply and commanding a 54.7% market share among US spot Bitcoin ETFs. Launched in January 2024, this rapid growth underscores strong institutional interest, with US Bitcoin ETFs seeing consistent inflows, including $388 million in one day. BlackRock’s fund ranks among the top 25 global ETFs, reflecting its significant impact. However, while large investors dominate Bitcoin transactions—evidenced by an average transaction size of $36,200 and 89% of activity from transfers over $100,000—retail participation is declining, with short-term holder supply dropping by 800,000 BTC since May. Analysts like Enmanuel Cardozo highlight institutional commitment and supply scarcity as key price drivers, though others warn of potential stagnation without new catalysts. If retail demand continues to weaken, Bitcoin may test support at $92,000, a critical onchain realized price for traders. Meanwhile, profit-taking and miner selling pressure offset some gains, but corporate treasury strategies and long-dormant wallet accumulation provide balance. This dynamic illustrates a market increasingly shaped by high-value players amidst fading “new money” from smaller investors.