XRP price will hit $25 if ETF approved, then crash 90%, new analysis says

Key Points

  • XRP ETF Approval Odds Soar: The likelihood of a spot XRP ETF being approved by the US SEC in 2025 has surged to 98% on Polymarket, driven by multiple applications from major firms like Bitwise and Grayscale, alongside strong institutional interest.**
  • Price Predictions for XRP: Analysts forecast XRP could rally to $20–$27 in 2025, with potential for a massive over 1,000% increase from current levels, based on technical analyses like bull flags and historical bullish divergences.**
  • Post-Rally Crash Warning: Following a potential peak at $25–$27, analysts warn of a severe bear market correction, predicting an 86–90% price drop to around $3.00.**
  • Institutional and Corporate Support: Significant investments, such as Webus International’s $300 million XRP treasury plan, and the success of XRP futures ETFs by CME Group, reflect growing corporate adoption and market maturity.**
  • Legal Clarity Boosts Sentiment: Ripple’s legal resolution with the SEC, after the lawsuit was dropped in March, has further strengthened market optimism for XRP’s future.**

Summary

XRP is gaining significant attention as its price hovers around $2.26, recovering recent losses with a 9.7% increase. Analysts are optimistic, predicting a potential rally to $20–$27 in 2025, driven by technical patterns and historical bullish trends, which could represent over a 1,000% surge. This optimism is fueled by a 98% likelihood of a spot XRP ETF approval by the US SEC, as per Polymarket data, with applications from major firms like Bitwise and Grayscale intensifying pressure. Additionally, institutional interest is evident through initiatives like Webus International’s $300 million XRP treasury plan and the successful launch of XRP futures ETFs by CME Group. Ripple’s legal clarity after the SEC dropped its lawsuit in March further bolsters market sentiment. However, analysts caution that a massive rally could be followed by an 86–90% crash to around $3.00 during a bear market, highlighting the volatile nature of such predictions. While these developments signal strong potential for XRP, the article emphasizes the inherent risks in cryptocurrency investments and the need for individual research.

cointelegraph
June 10, 2025
Crypto
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