Tesla Q2 earnings preview: 3 things to watch

Key Points

  • Tesla's core auto business, which drives the majority of its revenue and profit, is struggling with a projected Q2 revenue drop of 9% to $22.79 billion and a 13.5% decline in global vehicle deliveries year over year.
  • Elon Musk's focus on robotaxis offers potential for future growth, with expanded testing in Austin, Texas, though Tesla lags behind competitors like Alphabet's Waymo and Uber in deployment.
  • Investors are awaiting updates on a promised cheaper EV, with delays likely pushing the launch to Q4 2025, potentially disappointing Tesla bulls.
  • Musk's political activities and a rocky relationship with President Trump, alongside tariffs and regional sales weaknesses, are dampening optimism for Tesla's stock, which is down 18% year to date.
  • Analysts suggest weaker fundamentals and the need for capital to fund autonomous vehicle and AI initiatives could lead to a future share sale, a move unpopular with investors.

Summary

Tesla (TSLA) faces significant challenges as it approaches its Q2 2025 earnings report, with stock down 18% year to date amid a rocky relationship between CEO Elon Musk and President Trump, impacting late-2024 optimism. The core auto business, Tesla’s primary revenue source, is under pressure with expected Q2 revenue of $22.79 billion, a 9% drop, and a 13.5% decline in global deliveries. Regional weaknesses, competition, and consumer shifts to hybrids add to concerns. Meanwhile, Musk’s focus on robotaxis offers hope, with testing expanding in Austin, though Tesla trails competitors like Waymo and Uber. Investors are eager for updates on a cheaper EV, promised at around $30,000, but delays to Q4 2025 seem likely, potentially disappointing stakeholders. Additionally, tariffs on foreign cars, Musk’s political reputational hit, and the possibility of a future share sale to fund autonomous vehicle and AI initiatives further cloud Tesla’s outlook. As the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new highs, Tesla’s earnings call will be critical for insights into its struggling auto segment, robotaxi plans, and new vehicle timelines.

yahoo
July 23, 2025
Stocks
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