Crypto Daybook Americas: Trump's Reserve Rumors Swirl as BTC Rebound Eyes $95K

Key Points

  • The crypto market has stabilized following comments from Commerce Minister Howard Lutnick about potential tariff relief on Canadian and Mexican imports under NAFTA, boosting Bitcoin's price to nearly $90K.
  • Market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts have increased, with the 10-year Treasury yield dropping significantly, which could encourage risk-taking in the market.
  • Worsening growth concerns and fears of stagflation could limit crypto gains, with the Atlanta Fed's GDP forecast turning negative.
  • President Trump's potential announcement of a crypto reserve strategy at the White House Crypto Summit could significantly influence market dynamics.

Summary

The crypto market has shown signs of stabilization following comments from Commerce Minister Howard Lutnick about potential tariff relief on Canadian and Mexican imports under NAFTA, which has helped Bitcoin's price recover to nearly $90K. This recovery is further supported by market expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, with the 10-year Treasury yield dropping from 4.80% to 4.15%. However, concerns over U.S. economic growth, with the Atlanta Fed's GDP forecast turning negative, could limit these gains. The market is closely watching for President Trump's potential announcement of a crypto reserve strategy at the White House Crypto Summit, which could either stabilize or further disrupt the market. Additionally, the weakening dollar index and Germany's decision to abandon fiscal constraints have contributed to a risk-on environment, potentially pushing Bitcoin towards its recent high of $95,000. The crypto market's direction could also be influenced by upcoming economic indicators like the U.S. ISM non-manufacturing PMI and nonfarm payrolls data.

Shaurya Malwa
March 5, 2025
Crypto
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