Core CPI rises less than forecast as inflation pressures ease slightly in December

Key Points

  • Core CPI rose 0.2% month-over-month in December, a slowdown from November's 0.3% increase.
  • Annual core CPI fell to 3.2% in December, marking the first deceleration since July.
  • Headline CPI increased by 2.9% year-over-year, in line with expectations.
  • Shelter costs, a significant driver of core inflation, saw a slight decrease in annual growth rate.
  • Stocks rallied and Treasury yields fell following the inflation report.

Summary

The latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics indicates a slight easing in inflation, with the core Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December showing a 0.2% increase over the previous month, down from November's 0.3%. This marks the first time since July that the year-over-year core CPI has decelerated, dropping to 3.2%. Despite this, headline CPI rose by 2.9% annually, aligning with economic forecasts. The Federal Reserve will consider this data for its upcoming interest rate decisions. Notably, shelter costs, which have been a persistent driver of inflation, saw a minor annual decrease, while food and energy prices continued to exert upward pressure on the headline figures. The market responded positively to the report, with stocks rallying and the 10-year Treasury yield dropping. Economists like Eugenio Aleman from Raymond James noted that the Fed might tolerate temporary increases in headline CPI if core inflation remains stable. However, the economic landscape remains complex with potential policy changes from the incoming administration possibly influencing future inflation trends.

yahoo
January 15, 2025
Stocks
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