Commentary: Trump may be wooing a 'Bidencession'

Key Points

  • Trump's aggressive tariff policies have raised concerns about a potential recession.
  • There's speculation that Trump might be intentionally causing economic stress to blame it on Biden.
  • Investors and economists are lowering growth forecasts and raising inflation estimates due to Trump's economic policies.
  • Trump's administration seems unconcerned about market reactions to his policies, potentially signaling a more severe economic strategy.

Summary

The article discusses the economic implications of Donald Trump's policies during his second term, particularly focusing on the potential for a recession. Despite Joe Biden's term ending without a recession, there's growing suspicion that Trump might be willing to tip the economy into one early in his term to blame it on Biden. Trump's aggressive tariff policies have surprised investors, leading to a significant drop in stock market performance and a revision of economic forecasts for 2025. Analysts and insiders suggest that Trump might not mind a recession if it can be attributed to Biden, especially given the economic stability at the end of Biden's term. The administration's rhetoric and actions, including comments from Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent about needing an economic "detox," indicate a possible strategy of economic disruption. This approach has drawn comparisons to historical economic policies that exacerbated downturns, like those during the Great Depression. The narrative of a "Bidencession" is already being pushed by Trump's allies, despite the lack of economic distress signs when Biden left office.

yahoo
March 12, 2025
Stocks
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