China, Germany Fire Fiscal Rockets as U.S. Looks to Cut Spending. What Does it Mean for Bitcoin?

Key Points

  • China and Germany have announced significant fiscal stimulus measures to support their economies.
  • China targets a 5% GDP growth for 2025, with a fiscal deficit target raised to 4% of GDP.
  • Germany plans to invest in defense and infrastructure, moving away from its traditional fiscal conservatism.
  • These measures are expected to counteract potential negative impacts from U.S. fiscal policies.
  • The fiscal plans could influence global financial markets by affecting currency values and bond yields.

Summary

China and Germany have recently unveiled substantial fiscal stimulus packages aimed at bolstering their economies amidst global economic uncertainties. China, at the National People's Congress, set a GDP growth target of 5% for 2025 and increased its fiscal deficit target to 4% of GDP, signaling a shift towards boosting domestic demand and consumption. This move reflects Beijing's strategy to transition from an investment-driven to a consumer-driven economy. Meanwhile, Germany has decided to abandon its long-standing fiscal restraint by unlocking billions for defense and infrastructure, aiming to stimulate its struggling economy. These fiscal expansions come at a time when the U.S. might reduce spending, potentially offsetting any adverse effects on global markets. The announcements have already influenced financial markets, with Asian and European equities rallying and Bitcoin experiencing a rise. Moreover, these fiscal policies are impacting currency values, with the EUR/USD pair gaining strength, which could lead to broader USD selling and ease global financial conditions, encouraging risk-taking in financial markets.

coindesk
March 5, 2025
Crypto
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