Bitcoin's Tuesday Bloodbath Was the Bottom, Analyst Says

Key Points

  • The crypto market saw a severe downturn, with bitcoin's price potentially marking a bottom according to on-chain metrics.
  • The total crypto market cap dropped nearly $1 trillion from its peak in December 2024.
  • The Crypto Asset Sentiment Index hit its lowest since August, indicating a contrarian buy signal for Bitcoin.
  • Investors experienced significant losses, with $1.8 billion lost in a single day, the largest since August.
  • Short-term holders sent a record amount of bitcoin to exchanges at a loss, signaling potential market bottom.

Summary

The cryptocurrency market underwent a significant downturn on Tuesday, with bitcoin's price possibly reaching a local bottom as indicated by various on-chain metrics. The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies fell to just above $2.7 trillion, marking a nearly $1 trillion decrease from its peak in December 2024. This downturn was highlighted by several key indicators, including the Crypto Asset Sentiment Index reaching its lowest level since August, which coincided with the unwinding of the yen carry trade. This event led to bitcoin bottoming out at around $49,000. The market sentiment was overwhelmingly bearish, with investors losing $1.8 billion in a single day, the largest such loss since August. Additionally, short-term bitcoin holders, those holding for less than 155 days, moved a significant amount of bitcoin to exchanges at a loss, suggesting that the market might be nearing a critical turning point. These metrics collectively suggest that the risk-reward outlook for bitcoin at current prices could be quite favorable.

coindesk
February 26, 2025
Crypto
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