Bitcoin price metric that called 2020 bull run says $69K new bottom

Key Points

  • Bitcoin has a 95% chance of staying above $69,000, according to the "Lowest Price Forward" metric.
  • A "cooling off period" of up to three months might precede the return of bull market momentum.
  • Bitcoin's price remains sensitive to geopolitical decisions, particularly in 2025.
  • Timothy Peterson, the creator of the metric, predicts Bitcoin will reach $1.5 million by 2035.

Summary

In a recent analysis, network economist Timothy Peterson introduced a new Bitcoin price floor of $69,000, suggesting a 95% probability that Bitcoin will not drop below this level. This prediction comes from his "Lowest Price Forward" metric, which has a track record of accurately forecasting Bitcoin's price trends. Despite recent dips in Bitcoin's value, Peterson remains optimistic about its future, predicting a significant bull run after a potential cooling off period of up to three months. He also highlighted Bitcoin's sensitivity to geopolitical events, especially looking towards 2025. Peterson's long-term outlook is even more bullish, forecasting Bitcoin to reach $1.5 million by 2035. His analysis underscores the resilience and potential growth of Bitcoin, even amidst market volatility and external pressures.

cointelegraph
March 5, 2025
Crypto
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