Bitcoin in a Mire, Gold Eyes 6th Straight Week of Gains as Jobs Data Looms

Key Points

  • Bitcoin's fair value is estimated between $48,000 and $95,000, suggesting it's overvalued at its current price above $98,000.
  • Gold has surged over 9% year-to-date, reaching a record high, while Bitcoin struggles to maintain momentum above $100,000.
  • The U.S. jobs report, due on Friday, could influence the Federal Reserve's rate decisions, potentially affecting both Bitcoin and gold markets.

Summary

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently facing challenges in capturing trader interest, with its market price hovering just above $98,000, which CryptoQuant analysis suggests is overvalued. The analytics firm's Bitcoin Network Activity Index has dropped significantly, reflecting a 53% decrease in daily transactions since September. Despite endorsements from figures like Eric Trump, Bitcoin has not seen significant upward movement. In contrast, gold has been performing strongly, reaching a record high of $2,882 per ounce, driven by its appeal as a safe-haven asset amidst economic uncertainty. The upcoming U.S. jobs report is anticipated to influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions, potentially impacting both Bitcoin and gold markets. A lower-than-expected jobs report could lead to expectations of faster rate cuts, possibly boosting demand for riskier assets like Bitcoin, while strong employment data might complicate matters for the Fed, leading to risk aversion.

coindesk
February 7, 2025
Crypto
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