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On Thursday, Tesla Inc. (TSLA) saw its stock rise by 1.7%, adding $14.3 billion to its market capitalization, despite President Trump's announcement of a 25% tariff on fully-assembled vehicles entering the US. This increase in Tesla's stock value dwarfed the declines in the stock values of its US rivals like General Motors and Ford, whose combined market value drop was only about $4.6 billion. The disparity in impact is largely due to Tesla's significantly higher market capitalization, which means even minor stock movements have a substantial effect on the market. Tesla's domestic production insulates it from the immediate effects of these tariffs, unlike GM and Ford, which import many of their vehicles. The broader market, including the S&P 500, showed minimal reaction to the tariff news, but analysts suggest that the long-term implications could extend beyond the auto sector, affecting supply chains, investment, and consumer prices. Additionally, companies in the used car and rental sectors like Carmax, Hertz, and Avis Budget Group are expected to benefit if new car prices rise due to the tariffs.
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China has escalated its trade war with the United States by raising its tariff on US goods to 84%, in response to the US imposing a hefty 104% tariff on Chinese imports. This move comes after the Trump administration followed through on its threat to add a 50% tariff on top of existing duties, bringing the total to 104%. The escalation has further strained US-China trade relations, with China vowing to "fight to the end." The impact of these tariffs has been felt on Wall Street, with the S&P 500 (^GSPC) nearing a bear market. Despite opposition from his own party and Wall Street, President Trump remains defiant, asserting that other countries are eager to negotiate. Meanwhile, various countries are responding with their own tariffs, and companies are adjusting to the new economic reality by raising prices. The situation continues to evolve as global markets react to the ongoing trade tensions.
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The US financial markets have been in turmoil following President Trump's tariff policies, leading to a significant increase in long-term Treasury yields. The 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) surged by 47 basis points in a short period, while the 30-year yield (^TYX) also saw substantial gains. Despite these movements, market analysts like Mark Newton from Fundstrat Global Advisors believe these increases might be temporary, predicting a decline to around 3.5% by fall due to potential decreases in inflation. The bond market's reaction suggests a cautious optimism, with some experts like Nancy Tengler indicating that the market might not be in a recessionary state yet. However, the overarching concern is the potential for stagflation, where economic growth stalls, inflation persists, and unemployment rises. This scenario is fueled by recent trade policies and other economic uncertainties, including the possibility of reduced foreign demand for US Treasuries, which could force the US to issue bonds at higher rates to attract investors. The market's struggle to price even low-risk assets like Treasuries reflects the broader uncertainty and volatility in the financial landscape.
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Elon Musk's public disagreement with the Trump administration's tariff policies has escalated, highlighting a significant rift between the Tesla CEO and the President. While both Musk and Trump recognize issues within global trade, their solutions diverge sharply. Musk has openly criticized Peter Navarro, Trump's trade advisor, for suggesting that Tesla's opposition to tariffs stems from its reliance on foreign parts. Musk counters this by emphasizing Tesla's vertically integrated manufacturing approach, which reduces the need for extensive international trade. Despite Musk's general avoidance of commenting on tariffs, especially during his time as head of the Department of Government Efficiency, he has consistently pushed for zero-tariff systems between major trading partners like the US and Europe. Trump, however, favors tariffs and has dismissed the idea of zero-for-zero tariffs, focusing instead on broader trade deficits. This disagreement was further highlighted when Musk confronted Trump over the weekend, unsuccessfully attempting to sway the President's stance on tariffs.
