Powell says tariff inflation 'could be more persistent' as Trump urges him to cut rates

Key Points

  • Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that the effects of Trump's tariffs on inflation might be more persistent than previously thought.
  • President Trump urged Powell to cut interest rates, criticizing him for being "always late" in his monetary policy decisions.
  • Powell emphasized that the Fed would not rush into rate changes due to uncertainties, despite acknowledging the potential for higher inflation and slower growth due to tariffs.
  • Market reactions included a significant drop in stock indices, with traders betting on multiple rate cuts in 2023 due to recession fears.
  • Despite a strong labor report, the Fed's stance remains cautious, with some Fed officials suggesting a need for a restrictive policy to manage inflation expectations.

Summary

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has shifted his stance on the impact of President Trump's tariffs, suggesting that the resulting inflation might not be as transitory as previously thought. This change in perspective comes amidst Trump's public pressure on Powell to lower interest rates, accusing him of being slow to act. Powell, speaking at an event in Arlington, Virginia, highlighted the uncertainties surrounding the economic effects of the tariffs, which could lead to higher inflation and slower growth. Despite these concerns, Powell and other Fed officials have indicated a reluctance to make hasty decisions on monetary policy, emphasizing a need for more clarity before any adjustments. The market has reacted with significant volatility, with stocks experiencing their worst one-day drop since the onset of the 2020 Covid-19 crisis, and traders now anticipating multiple rate cuts in response to potential recessionary pressures. Meanwhile, a robust labor report did not sway the Fed's cautious approach, with some officials advocating for maintaining a restrictive stance on rates to manage inflation expectations. This situation underscores the complex economic environment the Fed must navigate, balancing inflation control with economic growth amidst political pressures.

yahoo
April 4, 2025
Stocks
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