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As President Trump escalates his protectionist trade policies, consumers in other countries are responding with boycotts of US products and reduced tourism, potentially impacting US economic growth. Goldman Sachs estimates that these foreign boycotts could decrease US GDP by 0.1% to 0.3% in 2025, equating to a loss between $28 billion and $83 billion. Notably, Canada has seen a significant backlash, with 53% of consumers participating in boycotts, particularly affecting American alcohol sales due to provincial monopolies removing US products. The Trump administration's recent tariff threats, including a 25% duty on foreign-made vehicles, have further strained international relations, leading to a decline in favorability for US brands like Tesla and a noticeable drop in tourist visits to the US. Air Canada and European hotel companies have reported significant decreases in bookings, reflecting a broader trend of travelers opting for destinations other than the US. This situation adds to the economic pressures already anticipated from tariffs and retaliatory measures, leading Goldman Sachs and other Wall Street firms to lower their US GDP growth forecasts for 2025.
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Gasoline prices in the U.S. have surged to their highest since September, driven by the transition to a more costly summer blend of fuel and oil prices hovering above $70 per barrel. According to AAA, the national average price for gasoline is around $3.24 per gallon, marking an increase from last month but still lower than a year ago. The switch to summer-blend gasoline, which is pricier to produce, coincides with refineries undergoing maintenance, thus reducing supply at a time when demand typically rises due to warmer weather and spring break travel. Additionally, geopolitical tensions, including U.S. actions against Iran, Venezuela, and Russia, have contributed to the recent oil price rally. The market is also on edge awaiting President Trump's announcement on tariffs, which could either further escalate or mitigate the current oil price dynamics.
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The article discusses the potential political repercussions for Republicans in the 2026 elections due to President Trump's new tariff policies. It highlights the GOP's significant losses in the 2018 midterms, where tariffs played a crucial role in voter dissatisfaction. Recent special elections, including a notable Democratic win in Wisconsin, suggest that the GOP might be facing similar electoral challenges. Trump's new tariff strategy, dubbed "Liberation Day," aims to impose duties that could have a more substantial economic impact than those during his first term. These tariffs are expected to directly affect consumer prices, particularly impacting low and middle-income households. The article also notes the broader political context, including the influence of figures like Elon Musk in recent elections, and suggests that if the administration does not adjust its course, the GOP could face a significant setback in the upcoming elections. The analysis underscores the unpredictable nature of voter response to these economic policies, potentially leading to a "wave-like" electoral environment in 2026.
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President Trump is set to unveil a sweeping new tariff program on Wednesday, which he has dubbed "Liberation Day." This initiative includes imposing 25% tariffs on all foreign-made vehicles, prompting consumers to rush purchases to avoid higher costs. The proposed tariffs have raised economic concerns, with analysts warning of potential recessions and significant increases in consumer prices. The manufacturing sector has already shown signs of contraction due to tariff uncertainty, while sectors like dairy exports and automotive industries face challenges from existing and anticipated duties. Globally, reactions vary: the EU has prepared retaliatory measures, Canada has imposed new duties, and Mexico has chosen a non-retaliatory approach. The ambiguity surrounding the scope and implementation of these tariffs has left markets and businesses in a state of uncertainty, with potential impacts on stock markets, consumer behavior, and international trade relations.
